Tonight’s big political news is that the House of Commons has voted in favour of taking control of the Commons’ business. This will enable MPs who have been against no-deal to legislate that No-deal isn’t redeemable by law, with this particular vote pencilled in for tomorrow (4th).
YES: 328 NO: 301The House of Commons votes to take business control away from the government.
Another key moment today is that Boris Johnson has laid down a motion for an early snap election through the Fixed Term Parliament Act 2011. This essentially means that for an election to be guaranteed, the House of Commons needs 2/3 of MPs to vote for the confirmation. The talk of the town yesterday was that the government planned an initial ‘stick and twist’ election for October 14, a few weeks ahead of the deadline. Well, it seems that the government has run out of ideas after today’s defeat.
The growing trepidation of a no-deal has led to over 20 Conservative MPs voting against the government, with Boris Johnson’s words on the steps of Downing Street doing little to prevent the fall-out. Now, it is likely that the deadline for getting a deal could be extended to January 2020, signifying the extent to which British democracy is well and truly in deep hole.
The talk of an early election may have been confirmed today, but by no means is a general election certain. It may be that parties would want to pass legislation to prevent a no-deal completely, meaning that they could yet not be ready to vote for such a motion. But, the Tory psycho-drama is set to continue, with all 21 of the rebel Conservative MPs set to ‘lose-whip’ in any circumstances (Vicki Young, BBC). Even Philip Hammond, it is reported, has lost his whip according to the Guardian, meaning that he is no longer, in technicality, a Conservative MP anymore. And, with more set to follow, the middle-class apocalypse is really set to spice up.
These revelations follow on from earlier this evening, when ex-Tory Dr. Phillip Lee crossed the floor to the Lib Dems which was confirmation that the government’s paper thin majority had been shredded. This could very well be the end of the Conservative party, as their future is now in serious contention. Ken Clarke, former Chancellor of the Exchequer agrees- he thinks that it has been ‘taken over’. He could well be right.
The credibility of Boris Johnson is running close to fatal, and with the immediate prospect of essentially booting-out 21 MPs for voting against the government, it could be Boris’ bye-bye. It was said that Johnson could well have one of the shortest tenures as Prime Minister in living memory, and those early sentiments could soon be proven to be correct. Considering Boris suggested that Brexit would be delivered on a ‘do or die’ basis, this is surely the bit where he has been shot in the leg and must find a way to limp over the line (metaphoric, of course).
The EU summit is on October 17, and if there is to be a rumoured October 14 election, a huge amount rides upon what happens tomorrow and this week in the House of Commons. And, with no majority and 21 MPs looking as though they are expelled from the party, his administration is hopeless. Boris’ career as PM could be over before it even started, and having only won off of the basis of a ‘selectorate’ (Party member vote), his credentials have been depleted. Heavily.
With my last year of A-Levels set to start this week, it signifies that however young I may be, this period is surely going to be remembered as the most consequential time in modern British political history. This could be the beginning of the end for the mainstream political parties- the Conservatives are disunited (and bitterly so), Labour cannot fathom a useful trajectory of momentum and the SNP are still looking to keep within the borders of Scotland.
Is it any surprise that the Brexit Party did so well in the EU elections this year? Probably not. There is an open chance that a new generation of parties are all lining up to boss politics in the not too distant future.
Keep your heads on, as this might just be the most frantic month, let alone week in modern British politics. It’s certainly do or die now. Be Safe, please.
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